Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Margin Debt Redux

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The following was kindly contributed by Paul from Maine……..

I’ve been fiddling with some numbers in Excel and thought you’d find it interesting. It concerns the correlation of NYSE margin debt with the S&P 500.

Margin gives investors and traders the opportunity to borrow money in order to enhance their returns. NYSE margin debt concerns the aggregate value borrowed by all participants utilizing that particular exchange.

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Forecasting the S&P 500…My Dumb Luck?

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My post of April 5, 2014 refers.

The following Daily chart of the ES (S&P 500 E-mini Futures Index) shows what happened from that date up to the present. The ensuing swings overshot my projected targets a bit, and it took a bit longer for the “FROTH” level around 2100 to be reached, but price action generally followed the path that I forecast a year ago…price has been consolidating, basically, below that level since December 2014. Additionally, volatility did become the “name of the game” over those weeks and months, as I had anticipated.

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