Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Goooooooooalllllllll!!!!!!

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Well, I might as well succumb to World Cup Fever, which has affected even Slopers. Hence, the subject line for this post. Anyway, I just wanted to share a few thoughts on a handful of charts before calling it a day.

First, the Dow Jones Composite pretty much tells the story – – – last week’s dip was simply “the pause that refreshes”, and since it failed to break the supporting trendline (the dotted green one), we are still in the same Bull Mode that we’ve been in since John Kennedy was in office and color televisions in every home was just a distant dream.

0616-comp

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The Daily Middle Band

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Friday was more bullish than I expected but resistance at 1937 held on repeated tests and if we are to see an opening gap today, then it seems likely at the time of writing that it will be a gap down. The SPX 50 hour MA is now at 1939 and is still primary resistance. In the event that is broken then main rising wedge resistance is in the 1947 area. I’m expecting more downside today however.

I think this retracement may develop into something substantial if the bears can develop some momentum, and we’ll see whether they can. At minimum though I’m looking for a test of the SPX daily middle bollinger band, which closed yesterday at 1918, and that target could be hit today. This is a target that is often pinocchioed intra-day, so it’s important not to read too much into a break below it unless that persists into the close. SPX daily chart: (more…)

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