Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

US Treasury Bonds, Gold & Stock Market

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The following is one of a wide range of analytical topics covered in NFTRH 293’s 35 pages this week, much of which is straight ahead technical analysis. But the T Bond market is usually central to an overall macro view at any given time. This segment is not meant to provide actionable direction (other than perhaps to prepare for a potential rise in T bonds yields), it is meant to dig into the mechanics beneath the financial markets in an effort to have people consider that there is much more going on with markets than simple nominal TA or conventional fundamental analysis (PE ratios, growth metrics, reported economic data, etc.) can account for. (more…)

Band Ride – Day Six

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Friday was the fifth day of the current ride up the daily upper bollinger band. After today the odds of staying with the upper band drop sharply so the odds are better than even that the current band ride will end today or tomorrow, and looking at the last few years, I would give at least even odds that the high made today or tomorrow will be within 15 points of the spring high. SPX daily chart:

140602 SPX Daily Rising Wedge