Slope of Hope Blog Posts
Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.
My last post on the SPX:VIX ratio refers. I mentioned that price on the Weekly ratio chart below may retest the 130.00 level and then rally. On Thursday of this week, price not only retested 130.00, but it blew right below to close around the 110.00 major support level.
Momentum has dropped below the zero level, indicating further weakness may be ahead.
It’s been literally six months since we’ve had a selloff like today’s, and it was delightful. Of course, Colonel Kilgore’s warning that “…someday, this war’s gonna end……” is echoing in my mind, since Yellen and her ilk always come along and screw things up just when it’s getting fun.
In any case, here are a few charts to allay my blogger’s guilt (and I must say, I am NOT feeling guilty about my Slope+ ideas in recent weeks, because Good God Almighty, there have been some gems in there………….it’s particularly gratifying, since a lot of annual renewals have been coming up in recent days!) (more…)
Well, now that the market is beginning to fall to pieces, I’m in freakin’ Eastern Europe. Oh, well – – I’ve got fast Internet, an ungodly luxurious suite, and three laptops, so it’s not all pain and suffering. I’d just like to be even more into it than I am.
On the one hand, the market is very – – and I hate this word – oversold. One look at the ES shows you that we’ve rammed against a meaningful support line, and we could easily bounce to about 1942.50……… (more…)
I began visiting Slope of Hope back in 2007. I opened my first trading account in 1999, began trading my own money, and started learning about fundamental investing by subscribing to IBD (Investor’s Business Daily) and the Motley Fool. By 2002, I began learning about technical analysis through Stockcharts. For years now, I have maintained a folder of 115 to 120 market charts that I review daily. I am sharing some of them here. Feel free to make your own charts from them. I agree with Alexander Elder that to develop as a trader, you must make the tools that you use, your own.
For those not familiar with my trading style, I focus frequently on inter-market relationships to find arbitrage-like trading opportunities in the markets. My charting has been greatly influenced by John Murphy. I like to short-term trade (many times) the context created when inter-market forces line up for a directional move, as it helps me grab a higher percentage of the channel once a directional move emerges. I grade my own trades upon the percentage that I take out of the channel.
My Slope+ folks (again – I think it was them – – my brain is tapioca) saw GNW as a suggested short last weekend, and it paid off yesterday – – but then again today. This chart is a little out of date, because now, it has even sliced through the Fibonacci fan level shown! I originally was showing this to illustrate how it had nailed the fan line, but the market is so weak, even that isn’t holding it up.