I’m not acquainted with Japanese Prime Minister Abe, but it’s apparent that the man’s wizard-like skills turning his national currency into toilet paper are unparalleled. The US dollar has finally achieved escape velocity versus the yen…….
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The Powers That Be really need to do a better job masking what they’re up to, because recent market action has gone full retard. The “fade whatever happens early in the day” schtick is getting old, and the /ES over the past week looks like the kind of attempt at a chart that a kindergarten student would attempt. C’mon, Powers! We know you can be more subtle!
I called the intraday turns on Friday very well, but was struggling to believe what I was seeing. The double top target at 1985 wasn’t made, with a failure at 1990 and a push up to close back at 2007. If we are to make a new high now from that low then that would be unprecedented among the eleven RSI 5 / NYMO daily sell signals going back to the start of 2012.
Looking back further however then there is one precedent for that among the twenty four signals going back to the start of 2007, and it’s not encouraging. That signal didn’t fail, by which I mean it didn’t go as high as the highest RSI 5 peak generating the sell signal, but SPX ran up almost another 4% before making the 2010 spring high. In this case the previous RSI 5 high is lower, but if that held again here SPX might still make it to the daily and weekly upper bands, both currently in the 2030 area, and possibly a bit higher. (more…)