Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Oh What a Plus

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I usually keep Slope+ posts and ideas behind the beautifully manicured topiary surrounding the Slope+ garden, but I wanted to share a recent success story to illustrate (1) the kinds of cool ideas you non-plusers are missing (2) how I actually do, gasp, offer up long ideas (although, cough cough, this particular one was to go long a bearish fund).

On the morning of March 25, I published a post called Aggressive Long which suggested buying the symbol DUST to take advantage of what I felt would be weakness in precious metals miners. I’ve marked the approximate publication time below with a green arrow, and I’ve tinted beneath that the suggested stop loss of 14.76 (which was never hit).

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A Fork In The Road

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The bulls had a very bad day yesterday and almost managed an even worse night. The reversal candle back through the daily middle band was conceded at the close and overnight ES ran all the way to 2033.50, then recovered back to 2060.75, and is close to that at the time of writing.

Are the bulls dead in the water here? No. Last time I saw an overnight move like this was in early August last year at the 1906 low, and as I recall Mike Vacchi took a long overnight at about 1882. That low was not tested again until October. It is a myth that overnight highs/lows have to be retested shortly after

What the bulls need here is to respect the bull/bear line at the 2061.02 gap fill that I gave yesterday morning. As long as that holds my primary scenario is the triangle scenario I gave yesterday morning. if that gap is filled then I’ll move the bear scenario here up to being my primary scenario, though technically the triangle would still be intact until we see a break below triangle support in the 2048 area. The bear scenario is looking for a break below the 2039 low to open up double top targets at 1980 and 1960.

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