Weaker Dollar, Stronger Gold?

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Good morning, Slopers. It’s quite odd – – we had an enormous surge in traffic yesterday – – and I have no clue where it came from. It’s not like the market was collapsing (which tends to attract a lot of rubberneckers). Oh, well. I appreciate the interest in any case.

It seems to me the United States “full faith and credit” Dollar could be in for a turning point. By way of the UUP, shown below, we can see prices have slipped beneath the 50 and 100 day EMA, and the averages seem to be pivoting at an inflection point. As long as UUP stays beneath that red horizontal, it looks to be in decline mode.

UUP

If that is the case, then poor, beleaguered precious metals are finally going to get off the mat. There’s a right triangle forming at the base, and if it can muster the strength to get above that green horizontal, I think there’s room for a meaingful rally.

GLD