Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Making America Mediocre Again?

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I wrote this article for the Opening Notes segment of this week’s Notes From the Rabbit Hole. At the end of the post is a really interesting interview with Peter Atwater sent to me by pal and subscriber Michael Pollaro that you should do yourself the favor of listening to. It’s pretty far reaching, but I think Michael sent it to me because it eloquently expands on the subjects (Trade War & the Fed) introduced below and a lot more. The stuff about Nationalism and the stock market’s vulnerabilities are must listen.

There is nothing new under the sun. As Donald Trump goes about the 1970s playbook (on steroids) the economic world is shifting in ways that will be impossible to quantify ahead of time.

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SPX Triple Top: 2400 Target

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My last post was not overly enthusiastic about a continued rally in the SPX, as evidenced by its title.

Now that the month of May is complete, you can see from the monthly chart below that a large triple top has formed on the SPX, which is, in fact, thanks to three bearish candle formations on this timeframe (namely, a dark cloud cover, followed by two bearish engulfing candles) — albeit it on successively higher swing highs — after overshooting its upper edge of a long-term ascending regression channel and reaching its +3 standard deviation level.

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