Think back New Year’s Eve, and all the uncertainty still surrounding COVID, and the aftermath of a disputed election. If an investor told you he had $500,000 and was unwilling to risk a drop of more than 20% over the next six months, what would you have suggested he do?
We addressed this question in a post published on New Year’s Day: New Year, State Of Fear:
Our approach to investing in a state of fear is to buy likely winners and hedge away the fear. Here’s an example, followed by an explanation. Let’s say that you have $500,000 in cash you want to put to work in 2021, but you aren’t willing to risk a drawdown of more than 20%. If you indicated that in our hedged portfolio construction tool on New Year’s Eve,
(more…)