Slope of Hope Blog Posts

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Know Your Probabilities (by Andrew Crowder)

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Do you think about probabilities on each and every investment/trade you make? You should.

A football analyst can tell you the probability that a team scores after entering the red zone.
Why? Because these probabilities matter and they are easy to figure out. They simply look at the data that is presented to them.
So, why is it that when I read a research report from a financial analyst they can't just simply tell me the likelihood that a stock will meet their expected price targets?