Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Know Your Probabilities (by Andrew Crowder)

By -

Do you think about probabilities on each and every investment/trade you make? You should.

 
A football analyst can tell you the probability that a team scores after entering the red zone.
 
Why? Because these probabilities matter and they are easy to figure out. They simply look at the data that is presented to them.
 
So, why is it that when I read a research report from a financial analyst they can't just simply tell me the likelihood that a stock will meet their expected price targets?

(more…)