Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Option Avoidance=Good For Me

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There are a couple of classes of trading vehicle I swore off years ago: options and FOREX. From time to time, I’m tempted to give options another whirl, but I hold myself back. This happened earlier this summer, so I did a little experiment: I put a marker on a chart of an option I would have bought indicating my “pretend” trade.

Well, after a few days, the option shot higher, pushing up over 50%. I begin to reconsider my self-imposed ban on options trading. But you can see what’s happened since then (and remember, this is a fairly conservative option, not expiring until the end of the year!)

I know options work great for a few of you out there, and that’s just dandy. For me, this little exercise just reassured me that I made the right choice swearing off the things.


Short Term Crossroads

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SPX is at a short term crossroads today, as Stan and I were discussing in Chart Chat yesterday. You can see the recording for that here. The option I outlined was a double top that would target the 2068 area on a break under 2080. That would be just above the 61.85 fib retrace of the move up from 2052. Stan was looking at a possible break up through triangle resistance into the 2120 area. We agreed it was a coin toss but so far SPX seems to be favoring the double top and retrace scenario. SPX 5min chart:

150817 SPX 5min Possible Double Top Setup