Slope of Hope Blog Posts

This is the heart and soul of the web site. Here we have literally tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. You can also click on any category icon to see posts tagged with that particular category.

3 Amigos of the Macro, Updated

By -

You thought I was done with the Amigos shtick, did you? Not by a long shot ma’am. They are the happy-go-lucky riders in play as the stock bull market churns on. They are the rising SPX/Gold ratio and stocks in general vs. gold (Amigo #1), rising US 10yr & 30yr yields (Amigo #2) and the flattening 10-2 yield curve (Amigo #3). On their current trends these goofy riders have signaled “a-okay!” to casino patrons playing the stock market and other risk ‘on’ items.

Taking our macro indicators out of order, let’s start with Amigo #2, who we have been noting to be bracing for something…

(more…)

The Blue Pill

By -

Stan and I are doing our monthly free public Chart Chat on Sunday covering the usual 40 or so instruments over most major markets. If you’d like to attend you can register for that on our March Free Webinars page.

ES gapped up over resistance on the NFP numbers this morning, and we are running the second option that I was looking at on the intraday video yesterday. ES is likely to hit the rising channel resistance I was looking at yesterday and that is now in the 2785 area. Ideally that gets hit today. Intraday Video from theartofchart.net – Update on ES, NQ and TF:

(more…)

Beelzabubba

By -

Thanks to a strong monthly jobs report, the market is flying higher. As I’m typing this, the ES is up 23, the NQ up nearly 70, and what was going on in the market one month ago today is a distant, distant memory.

Because the economy is so strong, yields continue to strengthen (and, in turn, bonds weaken). As my PLUS users know, I’ve been kind of obsessed with bonds, and they were “turned away” nicely by the trendline a bit more than a week ago. At the moment, bonds are just about the only asset in the red.

ZBS (more…)