Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

“Trade War”

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It has in the past been “the financial crisis”, “the Euro crisis”, “Greek debt”, “Italian banks”, “the fiscal cliff”, “Brexit” and so on. Every one of those events an extension of Keynesianism and its debt-leveraged monetary magic tricks. But now the buzz phrase is “trade war”, a different kind of animal.

The brewing trade war with China is different. With every damn one of the events noted above we here in the anti-hype environs of nftrh.com (and before it, biiwii.com) have tried to maintain perspective about why it was occurring (Thing 1, which we had anticipated in essence if not in the exact way it played out) or why they would not prove long-term bearish or bring on the end of the world (Things 2-6).  [Editor’s Note: at first glance, I thought this was a Biblical citation, until I realized there was not a book of Things, at least not in the King James Version to which I am accustomed. – Tim]

Indeed, we often note that inflammatory market events prove most often to be sentiment resets and buying opportunities as the herd pukes up its asset holdings. Keynesianism after all, has an elasticity to it despite its obvious and one day terminal faults. The elastic keeps stretching to this day. (more…)

A Shameless Exploiter of the Underclass Dwindles

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Way back in 2014, I suggested shorting Rent-a-Center, partly because the chart was a disaster, and partly because the company was evil. In spite of a completely fake, propped-up-by-trillions bull market, RCII has lost the vast majority of its market cap since that post.

I didn’t really know what kinds of stuff RCII was pulling, so just out of the blue, I clicked the very first thing I saw to witness what kind of deal these guys were offering. So let’s say you wanted a laptop. Here’s what they offer:

payments (more…)

The Fate of Facebook’s Momentum About-Face

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The following monthly chart of FB shows that price has plunged to near-term support defined by its longer-term uptrend channel median and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level (166.22).

The reversal from its all-time high made last month has been accompanied by accelerating (to the downside) Momentum (peaked in October 2017) and Rate-of-change (peaked in September 2017) technical indicators which, in fact, reversed well ahead of price.

Neither of these two indicators have broken below their respective zero levels since the early months following FB’s IPO. A drop to, and hold below, zero on this monthly timeframe on these indicators could spell serious trouble for FB in the longer term. In this regard, watch for any drop in price to, and hold below, its next support level around 148.00 (channel bottom plus 40% Fib retracement level). (more…)

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