Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Take It Easy

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It's been a long time since I've seen the /ES not move by a single tick for this long. I think all you late-night traders might as well just hang it up until 8:30 a.m. EST. People seem to be frozen stiff until then.

In the meantime, here's an amazing graph submitted by a Sloper showing the looming adjustments to be made on mortgages (e.g. cranking up required payments from those least able to afford them). Between this tidal wave of impossible-to-meet payments and the eventual termination of the artificial "moratorium" on foreclosures, one can only imagine how much water is going to come crashing through the canyon once the dam breaks.

0903-resets

One thing you can count on: at 8:30 a.m. EST Friday, things are going to get very interesting! I already know, for me, it's either going to be a very good day or a very bad day. I am pretty sure that I'm going to go long the /ES in a big way before the announcement because I *cannot* be totally short and have a surprise. But I think I'm going to hold off until shortly before the announcement. Any thoughts and opinions on that tactic?

Oh, and, while we're still thinking about dUNG…….

Euro and USO

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Just a couple of quick "for what it's worth" charts…….

First is our old favorite, EUR/USD. This has been all over the map today. It shot up strong this morning, then it took a dip (I find it interesting that GDX and GLD have been absolute resolution in the face of that weakness; they barely even blinked). I've said it before, and I'll say it again: until the EUR/USD falls away (and, thus, indicates a stronger dollar), we're not going to get any sustained equity downturn.

0903-eur

Another chart is of USO. This ETF, an "old faithful" for swing trading, has broken its trendline. Nothing dramatic, but I think the energy markets are starting to tip their hand (or, in the case of UNG, both hands have been chopped off).

0903-uso

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