Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Dollar Swing Low? (by BKudla)

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The collapse of the long bond must have policy makers very concerned, with the banks not lending, and holding bonds to play the spread for income, marking capital losses on your bonds does not move you forward on your capital ratios.  Plus, with the 10 year backing up you can kiss the mortgage and real estate markets bye-bye, further pressuring the banks.

So what to do?  Well, nothing like a good scare in the equity markets by strengthening the dollar to take some of the pressure off.  Conjecture aside, I am safe in saying the dollar drives all, and the persistent strength is starting to take its toll.  Today it  (the dollar) hit a swing low, as I understand it, and I became even shorter in my portfolio.  Below are some landmarks for me.

I will post some trade ideas after I have a chance to reveiw my charts and filters.

Big-Picture Pattern Still Bullish for China ETF

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From a big picture weekly chart perspective, the series of higher lows and higher highs off of the October 2008 bear market low at 19.35 is the dominant pattern that underpins the iShares FTSE/China 25 Equity Index (NYSE: FXI) right now. As long as the major up trendline from October 2008 to the present (26 months) remains intact, now at 42.00/05, we will be looking for another loop to the upside towards 49.00-50.00 next.


Originally published on

My Bearish Watch-List (By Ryan Mallory)

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The basis for me adding a stock to my watch-list falls under one of three conditions:

1) Price and volume pattern offers a promising entry with a low-risk/high reward opportunity

2) Stock has already seen a significant rally in recent days or weeks, but still remains on the list for a possible entry on a light-volume rally.

3) The stock is one of intrigue to me that I just like to keep around, in case there is a setup that arises, that is too good to pass up (i.e. GS).

Stocks highlighted in yellow are new additions to the watch-list.

Checkout Ryan's Blog at