Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Major Indices Update (by Strawberry Blonde)

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The support and resistance levels for the Major Indices noted in my post on January 10th still apply.

In that post, I also made reference to a 10-Day 30-Minute chartgrid of the YM, ES, NQ & TF and said that any repeated attempts to advance convincingly beyond the highs of the first week in January would need to be accompanied by higher volumes. The horizontal white line on the updated chartgrid below represents that week's high. We can see that:

  • + the YM has struggled to stay above that level on building volumes, and today's advance took place in overnight trading on very low volumes…price fell back to the range high which is near-term support
  • + the ES has managed to stay above this range high, for the most part, on building volumes, and today's advance also took place in overnight trading on very low volumes…price is trading just above the 200 sma (pink) and last week's Volume Profile POC (yellow horizontal line) on this timeframe
  • + the NQ has also managed to stay above this range high, for the most part, on building volumes, and today's advance also took place in overnight trading on very low volumes…price is trading just below its 50 sma (red)
  • + the TF has also managed to stay above this range high, for the most part, on building volumes, and today's advance also took place in overnight trading on very low volumes…price is trading below both moving averages, just above last week's Volume Profile POC, and just above the 10-day Volume Profile POC (red horizontal line) at the right edge of the chart 

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Was Tuesday the Top? (by Andy Crowder)

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Numerous downgrades, more European woes, news of inevitable Greek default, financial sector struggles among other bearish news led to a lower, oops, higher open today? Yes, higher.

It has indeed been rather frustrating as a short-term bear since the gap open on 1/3. But, oftentimes when you are a contrarian and you make your livelihood on fading short to intermediate-term market extremes you often get into positions early. Any professional with any cred will tell you the same. It is to be expected. However, we are now nearing the area of max pain. While I thought we would see an immediate push lower after the first week of the year, I was willing to accept a push up to 1300 on the S&P or roughly $130.00 in SPY. We hit that level today and after the bulls pushed and pushed they failed miserably by the end of the day.

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