Patterns Don’t Always Matter

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Just a quick example showing not to rely too heavily on patterns. Below is URE (the double-bullish on real estate ETF) with three nice inverted head and shoulders pattern. On one hand, yes, there was a lift in each of these instances, but on the other hand, the lift was either very short-lived or, if it did persist, was choppy and not especially profitable. Past behavior on specific instruments with certain patterns can be helpful in anticipating what subsequent patterns on the same instrument will do in the future.

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