Slope of Hope Blog Posts

Slope initially began as a blog, so this is where most of the website’s content resides. Here we have tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. Click on any category icon below to see posts tagged with that particular subject, or click on a word in the category cloud on the right side of the screen for more specific choices.

Has Natural Gas Started a New Upleg?

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Ahead of tomorrow’s Inventory Report, Natural Gas has pivoted to the upside after retracing right to a test of the upside breakout level (3.15/3.20) of its 2-year resistance line.

This is very constructive price behavior within a larger-developing bull phase, and argues for a positive reaction to the Inventory Report.  The reaction could perpetuate continued price strength for a revisit of the December high, en route to 4.00-4.10, thereafter.


Originally published on

Is It Time to Give Up?

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Is It Time To Give Up? by Avi Gilburt,

First published Sat Dec 17 for members of  When dealing with markets, one must avoid, as much as possible, emotional responses and simply focus on the facts before us.  Last weekend, I presented my “factual” analysis of the market, and explained why I have retained a larger degree bullish perspective.  I suggest you review what I wrote so you can understand how I weigh the pros and cons in the complex, and why I have come to the conclusion I maintain.  Moreover, within the analysis I have been providing for the last month, I have been suggesting that another drop will likely be seen in the GDX and silver, and this past week that has finally been seen.

With the drop this past week in silver and GDX to lower levels below the November lows, the market has just about completed the pattern I have been tracking to end this correction which began in August. As I noted during my mid-week update, the initial rally off the Jan/Dec lows took 8 months, and the correction has now taken half that time.  This is quite normal for timing on corrections, so there is nothing unusual about the timing aspect of the correction.