Slope of Hope Blog Posts

This is the heart and soul of the web site. Here we have literally tens of thousands of posts dating back over a decade. These are listed in reverse chronological order. You can also click on any category icon to see posts tagged with that particular category.

Key Level on the 10-Year

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By Mike Paulenoff, MPTrader.com

After the first day of trading of April, a relatively uneventful one for the equity markets in general, the most consequential market for me is 10-year yield, which continues to exhibit constant weakness that commenced immediately after the March 15th Fed rate hike, and currently is bearing down on a critical 5-month support level at 2.30%.

If 2.30% is violated and sustained, it will trigger potential for downside continuation that projects to 2.10% optimally, and possibly to 2.00% prior to the next upmove in the budding yield bull market off of the July 2016 historic low at 1.32%. The 10-year hit a high in mid-December, 2016 at 2.64%, and probed that level a second time into the March 15th, 2017 Fed meeting. (more…)

Another Knife Fight at Resistance

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Yesterday’s knife fight resolved up and SPX closed the day at another test of the daily middle band from below. SPX gapped over the middle band at the open and looked as though a trend day was in store until SPX/ES hit declining resistance from the high. That broke up slightly on SPX and has been tested at the high on ES, but held so far. Bulls need to break above 2380 SPX / 2377 ES and bears need a close back under the daily middle band, currently at 2363. Whichever way this breaks may well determine direction for the next few days.

SPX 60min chart:

170405 SPX 60min

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